Predictions?

This blog comes as one media personality refers to it as, " Indecision 2018."

This comes in light of 4.8 milllion Texans early voting...

It has taken me several days to write this.

I would not bet on this predictions, and as I have said in the past, you never know how elections will turn out. You do not.

US House: I am looking at the polling numbers, and while the GOP has a way to maintain control of the US House, I look for it to swing for the Democrats. I am not going to be shocked if there is a 30-40 seat swing. There will be several surprises here, you have to remember there are 435 members of the House and often folks vote here on local issues rather than national ones.

Democrats gain control

US Senate: A miracle out of scripture for the Democrats to gain control of the Senate. The 35 seats up for grab are in traditional "red" states. And to be honest, I would not be shocked if the GOP gain a 53 seat majority in the Senate. I am really curious about 3 states, Nevada, Arizona, Montana. Let's see how the Democrats do in those states. ( This said, as strange as this election year is, I would not be shocked if the Senate winds up 50-50)

GOP maintains control.

Texas Legislature: The GOP will keep control of the Texas House and Texas Senate, the question is this, will any seats swing from GOP to Democrats, if so, the "purple" has started.

I keep saying this and some of you don't or can't fathom this, Texas is going to swing more and more purple in your lifetime. ( I say your lifetime because I am going to be honest, I do not know how much time I have left.) Texas is now an urban/suburban state. 80% of all Texans live in 30 counties of the 254 counties in the state. That means most of the population lives in about 12% landmass of the state. Texas ain't a farming/ranching state anymore folks, it hasn't been in a while.( I need to talk about Texas real estate in the coming years......and is scary. I looked at the projections.  Won't be as bad in the future here, but still, buy now. )

Cruz vs. Beto- Cruz will win, closer than he( Cruz) thinks. It will be a single digit win. Trouble is, Cruz just isn't likable. The next cycle he will get beat....or move into another position/slot. Six Years, Texas may put another Republican in his primary slot.( I am surprised at the number of old time GOP folks "purpling" and voting for Beto. )

That said, Beto will re-emerge in future elections.

Abbott vs. Valdez- Not close. Abbott will repeat. Texas is not ready for a lesbian Democratic governor with a Hispanic last name....yet.  Sorry, Texas is just not ready for all this....

And this one by special request by Judge Whitton: Texas Commissioner of the General Land Office.
Bush vs. Suazo- Bush will win, never mind ALL his GOP primary opposition have come out against him, and the GOP controlled Texas Board of Education has come out against him. There has been controversy over the "new" Alamo, ( And something may need to be done there. I was there for a convention with my wife and the area around the Alamo is now a tourist trap.) And the Board of Education is upset of the funding control concerning the Permanent School Fund....But not enough Texans are even aware of what is going on here....and thus will " Rubber stamp" Bush for a second term. 

The J.P. 4 Vote on Beer/Wine in Jasper County.- Pass. Won't be close. Passes big.( That said, do not take it for granted. Vote Tuesday....)

A couple of House elections to watch.

The Lexington, KY House seat. The Democrats generally hold that seat when they control the US House.

The seats in Virginia. 2,10, 7, 5 House Districts.

These seats will be early indicators if the Democrats will probably take the US House.

All of this said, there could be some systematic polling errors that make the elections go either way and during an election, anything could happen. There has been the largest turn out in an "off year" election ever. 4.8 million Texans? And I was voter number 4 in my Precinct 2 to vote.